Month: July 2025

Weekly Market Summary – 2025-07-03

Market Indicators

This week, key market indexes showed mixed results with continuing volatility led by fear gauge fluctuations. Despite some pressure, major indexes mostly maintained their ground by the close of the week. The overall market Sentiment is neutral as investors weigh economic data against geopolitical concerns.

Index Close Price (6/27) Close Price (7/3) Weekly Change (%)
GSPC.INDX $6173.07 $6279.35 1.74%
NDX.INDX $22534.20 $22866.97 1.47%
VIX.INDX $16.32 $16.38 0.37%

Current Market News

  • Fed Signals Caution: The Federal Reserve hinted at a gradual approach to future rate hikes amid inflation uncertainties.
  • Tech Earnings Beat Expectations: Major tech companies reported stronger than expected quarterly earnings driving sector optimism.
  • Geopolitical Tensions Rise: Renewed tensions between major powers created localized market volatility.
  • Consumer Spending Data Released: Retail sales data showed moderate growth, supporting economic expansion hopes.
  • Energy Prices Stabilize: Oil and gas prices steadied after weeks of fluctuation, reducing input cost fears for many sectors.

Upcoming Economic Events

  • July 7, Monday: Non-Farm Payrolls Report – Employment data expected to reflect steady job growth, impacting market direction.
  • July 8, Tuesday: Consumer Price Index (CPI) – Inflation readings anticipated to clarify price pressures facing the economy.
  • July 9, Wednesday: Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes – Insights into central bank discussions on monetary policy.
  • July 10, Thursday: Weekly Initial Jobless Claims – Labor market health gauge potentially influencing investor confidence.
  • July 11, Friday: Retail Sales Report – Key indicator of consumer spending trends critical for economic outlook.

Symbols to Watch

Symbol Close Price (6/27) Close Price (7/3) Weekly Change (%)
MSTR $383.88 $403.99 5.22%
TSLA $323.63 $315.35 -2.57%
PLTR $130.74 $134.36 2.76%
HIMS $49.41 $47.98 -2.89%
MSFT $495.94 $498.84 0.58%
AMZN $223.30 $223.41 0.05%
GOOGL $178.53 $179.53 0.56%
META $733.63 $719.01 -2.02%
NVDA $157.75 $159.34 1.01%
IBIT $60.72 $62.19 2.43%

MSTR: Strong pick led by a robust 5.22% weekly gain indicating bullish momentum amid tech sector recovery. Sentiment: bullish

TSLA: Slight decline of 2.57% shows some near-term profit-taking in an otherwise volatile EV market. Sentiment: neutral

PLTR: Moderate 2.76% increase driven by renewed enterprise interest in data analytics. Sentiment: bullish

HIMS: Minor drop of 2.89% reflecting sector pressures but stabilizing near recent lows. Sentiment: neutral

MSFT: Modest 0.58% rise consistent with steady fundamentals and positive earnings outlook. Sentiment: bullish

AMZN: Flat weekly performance signaling cautious sentiment despite solid revenue streams. Sentiment: neutral

GOOGL: Slight gain supports continued growth expectations in cloud and advertising segments. Sentiment: bullish

META: 2.02% dip showing profit taking amid regulatory uncertainties and social media dynamics. Sentiment: neutral

NVDA: Small 1.01% rise driven by AI sector demand remains encouraging. Sentiment: bullish

IBIT: Increasing by 2.43% reflects broader market risk-on mood in industrial sectors. Sentiment: bullish

Trade: Sold 4 HOOD $90 7/25 PUT for $1740 (4.8% ROI)

Selling 4 HOOD $90 puts expiring July 25th generates a 4.8% return in 21 days, capitalizing on strong premium, technical support above the strike, and a favorable risk/reward profile for short-term income.

A good time to sell a PUT is when the stock has dipped, as the premium tends to be higher.

Reasons

  • Attractive Premium and Risk/Reward Profile: The $4.35 premium per contract (totaling $1,740 for 4 contracts) represents a 4.8% return on $9,000 at risk over a 21-day period, which annualizes to a highly competitive yield compared to other short-term opportunities. The strike price of $90 is below the current market price of $93.91, providing a buffer against moderate downside moves.
  • Technical and Market Context: Robinhood (HOOD) has shown relative strength, trading above the $90 strike, and recent price action suggests support in the high $80s to low $90s range. The broader market environment remains constructive, with volatility elevated enough to keep option premiums attractive, but not so high as to signal imminent risk of a sharp selloff.
  • Probability and Delta Considerations: The put’s delta of 0.37 indicates a roughly 37% probability of finishing in the money, meaning there is a statistically favorable chance the option will expire worthless and the full premium will be retained. The risk of assignment is acceptable given the willingness to own HOOD at an effective purchase price below current levels.

Entry

On July 3, 2025, we sold 4 $90 PUT option (CASH SECURED) on Robinhood (HOOD) that expired on July 25, 2025. The stock was trading at $93.91, and we collected $1,740 in premium.

ASSET
SymbolHOOD
Option TypePUT
Strike Price$90
Expiration Date25 Jul 2025
ENTRY
Date3 Jul 2025 09:00 AM PST (Thu)
Stock Price$93.91
Delta0.37
Option Price (Sold At)$4.35
Quantity4
Projected Holding Period21 days
Projected Return4.8% ($435/$9,000)
Projected Annualized Return127.1%

P&L

Profit Potential

Updates

–

Exit

This trade is still on-going.

EXIT
Date
Stock Price
Delta
Option Price (Acquired At)
PROFIT & LOST
Realized Profit/Loss
Return
Annualized Return

Trade: Sold TSLA $300 7/25 PUT for $1225 (4.1% ROI)


We like selling PUTs on TSLA because its high volatility consistently offers excellent premium income, making each trade worth the risk.

This trade represents a 4.1% ROI in 21 days (100.5% annualized) opportunity.

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock is estimated to report earnings on 07/22/2025.

If you are new to option trading, please check out Option Basics.

Reasons

  • Strong Technical Support Near $300: Tesla’s stock has established significant support levels just below $300, with accumulated volume support at $284.70 and $272.20. These levels have historically attracted buyers, making a sharp breakdown less likely in the near term.
  • Recent Downside Already Priced In: The stock has recently experienced a notable decline, with a sell signal issued from a pivot top in late May and a drop of over 13% since then. Current technical indicators suggest the worst of the short-term selling may be behind us, and the stock is now closer to support than resistance.
  • Premium Collected Is Attractive: Selling the $300 put for $12.25 generates a solid premium, offering a cushion against further downside. With Tesla trading near $315 at the time of the trade, the breakeven is effectively reduced to around $287.75, which is just above a major support zone.

Entry

On July 3, 2025, we sold a $300 PUT option (CASH SECURED) on Tesla (TSLA) that expired on July 25, 2025. The stock was trading at $313, and we collected $1,225 in premium.

ASSET
SymbolTSLA
Option TypePUT
Strike Price$300
Expiration Date25 Jul 2025
ENTRY
Date3 Jul 2025 07:25 AM PST (Thu)
Stock Price$313
Delta0.35
Option Price (Sold At)$12.25
Projected Holding Period21 days
Projected Return4.1% ($1,225/$30,000)
Projected Annualized Return100.5%

P&L

Profit Potential

Updates

–

Exit

This trade is still on-going.

EXIT
Date
Stock Price
Delta
Option Price (Acquired At)
PROFIT & LOST
Realized Profit/Loss
Return
Annualized Return

Trade: Sold MSTR $375 7/25 PUT for $1400 (3.7% ROI)

We like selling PUTs on MSTR because its high volatility consistently offers excellent premium income, making each trade worth the risk.

If you are new to option trading, please check out Option Basics.

Reasons

This trade offers a compelling risk-reward setup. We’re aiming to generate $1,400 in premium over 3 weeks, which is a 3.7% return on a $37,000 cash-secured PUT — a strong short-term income opportunity. With a delta of 0.35, there’s about a 65% probability the option will expire worthless, allowing us to keep the full premium.

Even in the worst-case scenario, we’d be assigned 100 shares of MSTR at an effective price of $361 ($375 strike minus $14 premium), which is a solid entry point for a long-term hold. We can then transition into the wheel strategy by selling covered CALLs, continuing to reduce our cost basis while generating ongoing income.

Entry

On July 2, 2025, we sold a $375 PUT option (CASH SECURED) on MicroStrategy (MSTR) that expired on July 25, 2025. The stock was trading at $379.76, and we collected $1,039.32 in premium.

ASSET
SymbolMSTR
Option TypePUT
Strike Price$375
Expiration Date25 Jul 2025
ENTRY
Date2 Jul 2025 07:05 AM PST (Wed)
Stock Price$384.5
Delta0.35
Option Price (Sold At)$14
Projected Holding Period22 days
Projected Return3.7% ($1,400/$37,500)
Projected Annualized Return83.7%

Stock Price Trend

Option Price Trend

P&L

Potential Profit & Loss

Updates

  • 25/7/2 (Wed)- We entered the trade on July 2nd. By the close, the stock had risen from $384 to $402 (⬆️ +4.7%). The PUT option price dropped from $14 to $9 (⬇️ -3.5%), and we’re currently sitting on a $500 profit (⬆️ +37%).

Exit

This trade is still on-going.

EXIT
Date
Stock Price
Delta
Option Price (Acquired At)
PROFIT & LOST
Realized Profit/Loss
Return
Annualized Return