Weekly Market Summary – 2025-07-03

Market Indicators

This week, key market indexes showed mixed results with continuing volatility led by fear gauge fluctuations. Despite some pressure, major indexes mostly maintained their ground by the close of the week. The overall market Sentiment is neutral as investors weigh economic data against geopolitical concerns.

Index Close Price (6/27) Close Price (7/3) Weekly Change (%)
GSPC.INDX $6173.07 $6279.35 1.74%
NDX.INDX $22534.20 $22866.97 1.47%
VIX.INDX $16.32 $16.38 0.37%

Current Market News

  • Fed Signals Caution: The Federal Reserve hinted at a gradual approach to future rate hikes amid inflation uncertainties.
  • Tech Earnings Beat Expectations: Major tech companies reported stronger than expected quarterly earnings driving sector optimism.
  • Geopolitical Tensions Rise: Renewed tensions between major powers created localized market volatility.
  • Consumer Spending Data Released: Retail sales data showed moderate growth, supporting economic expansion hopes.
  • Energy Prices Stabilize: Oil and gas prices steadied after weeks of fluctuation, reducing input cost fears for many sectors.

Upcoming Economic Events

  • July 7, Monday: Non-Farm Payrolls Report – Employment data expected to reflect steady job growth, impacting market direction.
  • July 8, Tuesday: Consumer Price Index (CPI) – Inflation readings anticipated to clarify price pressures facing the economy.
  • July 9, Wednesday: Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes – Insights into central bank discussions on monetary policy.
  • July 10, Thursday: Weekly Initial Jobless Claims – Labor market health gauge potentially influencing investor confidence.
  • July 11, Friday: Retail Sales Report – Key indicator of consumer spending trends critical for economic outlook.

Symbols to Watch

Symbol Close Price (6/27) Close Price (7/3) Weekly Change (%)
MSTR $383.88 $403.99 5.22%
TSLA $323.63 $315.35 -2.57%
PLTR $130.74 $134.36 2.76%
HIMS $49.41 $47.98 -2.89%
MSFT $495.94 $498.84 0.58%
AMZN $223.30 $223.41 0.05%
GOOGL $178.53 $179.53 0.56%
META $733.63 $719.01 -2.02%
NVDA $157.75 $159.34 1.01%
IBIT $60.72 $62.19 2.43%

MSTR: Strong pick led by a robust 5.22% weekly gain indicating bullish momentum amid tech sector recovery. Sentiment: bullish

TSLA: Slight decline of 2.57% shows some near-term profit-taking in an otherwise volatile EV market. Sentiment: neutral

PLTR: Moderate 2.76% increase driven by renewed enterprise interest in data analytics. Sentiment: bullish

HIMS: Minor drop of 2.89% reflecting sector pressures but stabilizing near recent lows. Sentiment: neutral

MSFT: Modest 0.58% rise consistent with steady fundamentals and positive earnings outlook. Sentiment: bullish

AMZN: Flat weekly performance signaling cautious sentiment despite solid revenue streams. Sentiment: neutral

GOOGL: Slight gain supports continued growth expectations in cloud and advertising segments. Sentiment: bullish

META: 2.02% dip showing profit taking amid regulatory uncertainties and social media dynamics. Sentiment: neutral

NVDA: Small 1.01% rise driven by AI sector demand remains encouraging. Sentiment: bullish

IBIT: Increasing by 2.43% reflects broader market risk-on mood in industrial sectors. Sentiment: bullish

Trade: Sold 4 HOOD $90 7/25 PUT for $1740 (4.8% ROI)

Selling 4 HOOD $90 puts expiring July 25th generates a 4.8% return in 21 days, capitalizing on strong premium, technical support above the strike, and a favorable risk/reward profile for short-term income.

A good time to sell a PUT is when the stock has dipped, as the premium tends to be higher.

Reasons

  • Attractive Premium and Risk/Reward Profile: The $4.35 premium per contract (totaling $1,740 for 4 contracts) represents a 4.8% return on $9,000 at risk over a 21-day period, which annualizes to a highly competitive yield compared to other short-term opportunities. The strike price of $90 is below the current market price of $93.91, providing a buffer against moderate downside moves.
  • Technical and Market Context: Robinhood (HOOD) has shown relative strength, trading above the $90 strike, and recent price action suggests support in the high $80s to low $90s range. The broader market environment remains constructive, with volatility elevated enough to keep option premiums attractive, but not so high as to signal imminent risk of a sharp selloff.
  • Probability and Delta Considerations: The put’s delta of 0.37 indicates a roughly 37% probability of finishing in the money, meaning there is a statistically favorable chance the option will expire worthless and the full premium will be retained. The risk of assignment is acceptable given the willingness to own HOOD at an effective purchase price below current levels.

Entry

On July 3, 2025, we sold 4 $90 PUT option (CASH SECURED) on Robinhood (HOOD) that expired on July 25, 2025. The stock was trading at $93.91, and we collected $1,740 in premium.

ASSET
SymbolHOOD
Option TypePUT
Strike Price$90
Expiration Date25 Jul 2025
ENTRY
Date3 Jul 2025 09:00 AM PST (Thu)
Stock Price$93.91
Delta0.37
Option Price (Sold At)$4.35
Quantity4
Projected Holding Period21 days
Projected Return4.8% ($435/$9,000)
Projected Annualized Return127.1%

P&L

Profit Potential

Updates

Exit

This trade is still on-going.

EXIT
Date
Stock Price
Delta
Option Price (Acquired At)
PROFIT & LOST
Realized Profit/Loss
Return
Annualized Return

Trade: Sold TSLA $300 7/25 PUT for $1225 (4.1% ROI)


We like selling PUTs on TSLA because its high volatility consistently offers excellent premium income, making each trade worth the risk.

This trade represents a 4.1% ROI in 21 days (100.5% annualized) opportunity.

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock is estimated to report earnings on 07/22/2025.

If you are new to option trading, please check out Option Basics.

Reasons

  • Strong Technical Support Near $300: Tesla’s stock has established significant support levels just below $300, with accumulated volume support at $284.70 and $272.20. These levels have historically attracted buyers, making a sharp breakdown less likely in the near term.
  • Recent Downside Already Priced In: The stock has recently experienced a notable decline, with a sell signal issued from a pivot top in late May and a drop of over 13% since then. Current technical indicators suggest the worst of the short-term selling may be behind us, and the stock is now closer to support than resistance.
  • Premium Collected Is Attractive: Selling the $300 put for $12.25 generates a solid premium, offering a cushion against further downside. With Tesla trading near $315 at the time of the trade, the breakeven is effectively reduced to around $287.75, which is just above a major support zone.

Entry

On July 3, 2025, we sold a $300 PUT option (CASH SECURED) on Tesla (TSLA) that expired on July 25, 2025. The stock was trading at $313, and we collected $1,225 in premium.

ASSET
SymbolTSLA
Option TypePUT
Strike Price$300
Expiration Date25 Jul 2025
ENTRY
Date3 Jul 2025 07:25 AM PST (Thu)
Stock Price$313
Delta0.35
Option Price (Sold At)$12.25
Projected Holding Period21 days
Projected Return4.1% ($1,225/$30,000)
Projected Annualized Return100.5%

P&L

Profit Potential

Updates

Exit

This trade is still on-going.

EXIT
Date
Stock Price
Delta
Option Price (Acquired At)
PROFIT & LOST
Realized Profit/Loss
Return
Annualized Return

Trade: Sold MSTR $375 7/25 PUT for $1400 (3.7% ROI)

We like selling PUTs on MSTR because its high volatility consistently offers excellent premium income, making each trade worth the risk.

If you are new to option trading, please check out Option Basics.

Reasons

This trade offers a compelling risk-reward setup. We’re aiming to generate $1,400 in premium over 3 weeks, which is a 3.7% return on a $37,000 cash-secured PUT — a strong short-term income opportunity. With a delta of 0.35, there’s about a 65% probability the option will expire worthless, allowing us to keep the full premium.

Even in the worst-case scenario, we’d be assigned 100 shares of MSTR at an effective price of $361 ($375 strike minus $14 premium), which is a solid entry point for a long-term hold. We can then transition into the wheel strategy by selling covered CALLs, continuing to reduce our cost basis while generating ongoing income.

Entry

On July 2, 2025, we sold a $375 PUT option (CASH SECURED) on MicroStrategy (MSTR) that expired on July 25, 2025. The stock was trading at $379.76, and we collected $1,039.32 in premium.

ASSET
SymbolMSTR
Option TypePUT
Strike Price$375
Expiration Date25 Jul 2025
ENTRY
Date2 Jul 2025 07:05 AM PST (Wed)
Stock Price$384.5
Delta0.35
Option Price (Sold At)$14
Projected Holding Period22 days
Projected Return3.7% ($1,400/$37,500)
Projected Annualized Return83.7%

Stock Price Trend

Option Price Trend

P&L

Potential Profit & Loss

Updates

  • 25/7/2 (Wed)- We entered the trade on July 2nd. By the close, the stock had risen from $384 to $402 (⬆️ +4.7%). The PUT option price dropped from $14 to $9 (⬇️ -3.5%), and we’re currently sitting on a $500 profit (⬆️ +37%).

Exit

This trade is still on-going.

EXIT
Date
Stock Price
Delta
Option Price (Acquired At)
PROFIT & LOST
Realized Profit/Loss
Return
Annualized Return

Weekly Market Summary – 2025-06-27

Market Indicators

Index Close Price (6/23) Close Price (6/27) Weekly Change (%)
GSPC.INDX $6025.17 $6173.07 2.45%
NDX.INDX $21856.33 $22534.20 3.04%
VIX.INDX $19.83 $16.32 -17.65%

This week, major indexes demonstrated solid upward momentum with the S&P 500 (GSPC) rising by 2.45% and the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) gaining 3.04%. Meanwhile, the volatility index VIX dropped sharply by 17.65%, reflecting calmer market sentiment. Overall, investor confidence appears to be strengthening, signaling a bullish market environment.

Current Market News

  • Tech Earnings Beat Expectations – Several major tech companies reported stronger-than-expected profits, boosting market optimism.
  • Inflation Data Shows Cooling – Recent inflation figures suggest a slowdown, easing fears of aggressive rate hikes.
  • New AI Regulations Proposed – Government discussions on AI oversight introduced uncertainty in tech sector futures.
  • Global Supply Chains Improving – Signs of easing bottlenecks are supporting manufacturing and retail sectors.
  • Geopolitical Risks Remain Low – No major conflicts or tensions emerged this week, aiding steady market progress.

Upcoming Economic Events

  • 06/30 Monday: US Consumer Confidence Index – Expected to provide insight into household spending power and sentiment.
  • 07/02 Wednesday: Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes – Could reveal Fed’s stance on interest rates and inflation control.
  • 07/03 Thursday: Non-Farm Payrolls Report – A key metric that will influence future monetary policy decisions.

Symbols to Watch

Symbol Close Price (6/23) Close Price (6/27) Weekly Change (%)
MSTR $367.18 $383.88 4.54%
TSLA $348.68 $323.63 -7.15%
PLTR $139.92 $130.74 -6.56%
HIMS $41.98 $49.41 17.70%
MSFT $486.00 $495.94 2.05%
AMZN $208.47 $223.30 7.07%
GOOGL $165.19 $178.53 8.11%
META $698.53 $733.63 4.95%
NVDA $144.17 $157.75 9.46%
IBIT $58.67 $60.72 3.47%

MSTR: Strong earnings and demand for data analytics tools support its bullish outlook.

TSLA: Recent pullback reflects investor caution around valuation, leaning toward a bearish tone despite company strength.

PLTR: Profit-taking and sector rotation have pressured shares, making the sentiment bearish for now.

HIMS: Significant gain on positive revenue guidance leads to a bullish outlook.

MSFT: Steady growth and diversified revenue streams support a bullish stance.

AMZN: Strong e-commerce performance and cloud growth remain catalysts for a bullish sentiment.

GOOGL: Robust advertising recovery and AI investments encourage a bullish view.

META: Product innovation and solid ad revenue growth maintain a bullish sentiment.

NVDA: Leadership in AI chip technology underpins a clear bullish case.

IBIT: Rising demand in biotech indexes signals a bullish trend ahead.

Trade: Sold MSTR $370 7/3 PUT for $1040 (2.81% ROI)

We like selling PUTs on MSTR because its high volatility consistently offers excellent premium income, making each trade worth the risk. The large price swings boost option prices, allowing us to collect more upfront while managing risk with smart strike selection.

If you are new to option trading, please check out Option Basics.

Risks

The main risk of this trade is that if MSTR drops below $370, we could be assigned and required to buy 100 shares at that price — a $37,000 capital commitment. While we’d still keep the premium, we’d be exposed to potential losses if the stock keeps falling.

This strategy works best with strong underlying stocks that we’re comfortable owning long-term, like MSTR. If assigned, we not only keep the premium but also acquire the stock at an effective discount — making it a smart way to build a position in quality companies.

Entry

On June 12, 2025, we sold a $370 PUT option (CASH SECURED) on MicroStrategy (MSTR) that expired on July 3, 2025. The stock was trading at $379.76, and we collected $1,039.32 in premium.

ASSET
SymbolMSTR
Option TypePUT
Strike Price$370
Expiration Date03 Jul 2025
ENTRY
Date12 Jun 2025
Delta0.30
Option Price (Sold At)$10.40
Projected Return2.81% ($1,040/$37,000)

Updates

Exit

We then closed the position early on June 27, 2025, by buying it back for $155.68. That gave us a net profit of $883.64 over just 15 days, with minimal risk. This trade gives an annualized return of 74.7%

EXIT
Date27 Jun 2025
Option Price (Aquired At)$1.55
Delta0.15
PROFIT & LOST
Realized Profit/Loss$885
Return2.39% ($885/$37,000)
Annualized Return74.7%

Why Selling CALL Options?

Selling CALL options is a popular strategy for generating extra income, especially if you already own the stock. Known as a covered CALL, this approach lets you collect a premium upfront by agreeing to sell your shares at a set price (the strike price) if the option is exercised.

It’s a great way to earn passive income while holding a stock, particularly in sideways or slow-moving markets. If the stock stays below the strike, the option expires worthless and you keep both the shares and the premium. If it rises above the strike, you still profit — but you sell the stock at the agreed price.

This strategy works best with stocks you’re willing to sell and can be a smart way to boost returns from long-term holdings.

Why Selling PUT Options?

Overview

Learn more about PUT options in What is a PUT option? and How to sell a PUT option.

Selling a PUT option is a great way to earn income while potentially buying a stock you like at a discount. When you sell a PUT, you’re agreeing to buy 100 shares of a stock at a specific price (called the strike price) by a certain date — but only if the stock falls below that price. In return, you get paid a premium up front.

For example, if you sell a $100 PUT on a stock and collect a $3 premium, you’re agreeing to buy it at $100 — but your real cost would be $97 ($100 – $3). If the stock stays above $100, the option expires worthless and you keep the full $3. If it drops below $100, you’ll be assigned and buy the stock — but you’re still better off than if you had bought it at full price.

This strategy works best with stocks you actually want to own, and it’s a smart way to build positions slowly while earning passive income along the way. Just make sure you have enough cash to buy the stock if assigned — that’s why it’s called a cash-secured PUT.

Risks

Assignment risk: If the stock drops below the strike price, you must buy the shares at the agreed price, even if the stock keeps falling.

Capital requirement: You need enough cash to buy 100 shares per contract — this strategy ties up significant capital.

Stock-specific risk: If the company suffers bad news, the stock could fall far below your strike, resulting in a larger unrealized loss.

Tips

This strategy is best used on strong, fundamentally sound companies that you’d be happy to own long term. If you’re comfortable holding the stock, then being assigned isn’t a loss — it’s just a chance to buy shares at a discount and get paid while waiting.

The Wheel Strategy: A Step-by-Step Guide to Generating Income with Options

The wheel strategy is a popular options trading technique designed to generate consistent income by cycling between selling cash-secured puts and covered calls.

The process starts with selling a cash-secured put on a stock you’re willing to own; if the option is exercised, you purchase the stock at the strike price. Once you own the shares, you then sell a covered call against them, collecting additional premium income.

If your shares are called away, you simply start the process over by selling another cash-secured put, effectively “turning the wheel” and repeating the cycle.

This strategy is favored by income-focused investors who want to potentially acquire stocks at a discount while earning regular option premiums. The wheel strategy can help reduce the cost basis of stock ownership and provide steady returns, but it does require active management and carries risks—especially if the stock’s price drops significantly after assignment. To maximize effectiveness and manage risk, it’s important to choose fundamentally strong, liquid stocks and carefully select your strike prices. With the right approach, the wheel strategy can be a powerful addition to your investing toolkit.

How to sell a PUT option in Fidelity?

We are using Fidelity in this example.

First, you want to go to the Research & Quotes page for your stock. On the page, click on the option chain (representing by the link icon) link as shown below.

On the option chain page, you can select the expiration dates that you are interested in.

On the right side, there are PUT options.

To sell a PUT option, you can click on the Bid price.

You should then be shown a trade popup window where you can provide additional information. Please make sure it is a “Sell To Open” action for entering a trade.